A closer look at how Nordict generates forecasts from multi-horizon predictions and confidence scoring to the model lifecycle that keeps everything accountable.
4
Time horizons
95%
Confidence bands
24/7
Forecast updates
Market Data Input
Real-time & historical
Forecast
+2.4%
24h horizon
Confidence
72%
Calibrated
Supported horizons
Different decisions need different timeframes. Nordict supports multiple horizons, each with appropriate confidence calibration.
24H
Short-term forecasts for capturing near-term price movements. Updated hourly with tight confidence intervals.
Best for
Update frequency
Hourly
Confidence precision
High
Signal volatility
Higher
Horizon comparison
Confidence bands & probabilities
Confidence bands show where price might land with different probabilities. They turn uncertainty into something you can plan around.
Confidence Band Visualization
Hover over bands to explore
When the model is less certain, bands expand. This isn't a flaw, it's honest communication about forecast reliability.
A 75% band should contain the actual outcome ~75% of the time. We test this continuously and adjust when needed.
Bands show probability, not recommendations. A narrow band doesn't mean 'trade now', it means the model is more certain.
During volatile periods, bands widen automatically. During calm periods, they tighten. The model adapts to conditions.
Model lifecycle
Models go through a rigorous lifecycle before generating forecasts you see. Here's how it works.
Models are trained on historical market data using walk-forward methodology. No future data ever leaks into training.
Key aspects
This cycle repeats continuously. When monitoring detects drift, retraining is triggered automatically.
Update frequency & data freshness
Different horizons need different update frequencies. More frequent isn't always better. It's about matching cadence to decision timescale.
Refreshed four times daily to capture short-term market movements.
Updated once per day to balance responsiveness with stability.
Updated once per day. Longer horizons benefit from stable daily updates.
Updated once per day for long-term strategic forecasts with maximum stability.
Price Data
Major exchanges
Real-time
Volume Data
Aggregated feeds
Real-time
Order Book
Top 5 exchanges
Near real-time
On-chain (Crypto)
Node providers
~10 min lag
Why some data is delayed
On-chain data requires block confirmations for accuracy. We prioritize correctness over speed for data that influences longer-horizon forecasts.
99.7%
Data pipeline uptime
<30s
Avg. processing time